Last week I wrote a letter to my MP, David Davis, about the outcome of the EU Referendum. He responded yesterday. His response was entirely predictable – he was a vocal Leave supporter, and clearly has a fetish for whatever he thinks is left of the British Empire – but I was glad he responded. Here is our correspondence:
Dear David Davis,
I write concerning the recent referendum on the UK’s membership of the
European Union. The results made it clear that this time last week, the
majority of voters – including you – in the UK as well as in
Haltemprice and Howden supported leaving the European Union. I’m sure
you agree that the result of the referendum has been disastrous for the
UK in less than a week. Claims and promises made by the Leave campaign
have turned out to have been false – we won’t see any extra money spent
on the NHS, we won’t have access to the single market on any terms the
UK would agree to, and the restrictions on immigration that many voters
(though not including me) wished to see will not be possible.
Already we have seen a tremendous downturn in the UK economy, the
effects of which will surely be felt particularly harshly in our
region, especially as we face losing funding from the European Regional
My family faces hardship as a direct result of this referendum – family
members are small business owners, and other family members rely on
welfare benefits to support their income from work, which George
Osborne confirmed will be at real risk.
I urge you to do all you can to now ensure the future prosperity of the
UK, our region and my family. I believe the best way to do this will be
to work to ensure the UK remains a member of the EU – applying the
advice obtained from this advisory referendum when it has already
proved to be disastrously damaging to the UK simply cannot be an
option. I hope, having seen the fallout from last week’s poll, you
agree with me. Please help.
His response came in a week, which is actually pretty good I’m led to believe.
Dear Mr Avocado
Thank you for your email regarding the outcome of the EU Referendum.
I am afraid I do not at all agree with your statement that the “result of the referendum has been disastrous for the UK”.
We have not seen a “tremendous” downturn in the economy, what we have seen is the predictable hysteric reaction from the establishment. This hysteria was always to be expected in the event of a Leave vote. And it is just that – hysteria.
In reality there is much cause for confidence. The Germans have swiftly indicated their desire for minimum disruption to trade. The Americans reaffirmed their belief in the special relationship, with senators calling for a fast-track trade deal with the UK. And Australia and New Zealand lead the calls for Britain to rediscover our Commonwealth links.
It is now the job of the Government to implement the instructions of the UK people in a way which enhances democracy, improves our economy and maintains the tradition of liberal open minded and generous views of the rest of the World, including remaining friends with our European partners.
Thank you for writing to me in this way.
Rt Hon David Davis MP
I hope he’s right, but I don’t think he is.
One thought on “I wrote to my MP about Brexit”
This is the whole problem with brexit. Economics is a long term game where the short term bumps really don’t matter, but you can’t tell if something is merely a bump without waiting to see if it evens itself out. Brexit supporters can therefore hand wave their way out of criticisms based on predictions by claiming it’ll be better in future, and a very carefully weighed prediction can be dismissed in this manner with no thought or logic required whatsoever.
The reality is that David Davis’s predictive powers are no more credible than other people’s (and probably – but not necessarily – much worse than professional economists’), but I tend to feel that there is plenty of reason to suppose the economy will worsen with brexit, and claims to the contrary require a convincing argument behind them before they should be taken seriously, which so far hasn’t materialised.